How long after the signal our order reaches Polymarket:
History backtest (Aug 14 – Sep 30, 2026, same three setups, $40 max per bet): +$249 per day on average, 69% of days profitable, worst day −$800, worst week −$1,336. That test could only use past trade prices, so it likely overstates results. This page uses the real order book at the moment our order would arrive.
How to read it: the 1.0 s view is the realistic one. If 0.3 s is profitable but 1.0 s and 2.0 s are not, the edge only exists for the very fastest bots. "Missed" means the price was already gone when our order would have arrived.